Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.032293 0.037669 0.043590 0.050587 0.058616 0.067532 0.078174
2025-08-17 0.023506 0.030302 0.038489 0.049040 0.062232 0.078136 0.098713
2025-08-24 0.018294 0.025743 0.035446 0.048918 0.067035 0.090436 0.122813
2025-08-31 0.014245 0.021699 0.032113 0.047566 0.069722 0.100113 0.144668
2025-09-07 0.012250 0.020008 0.031530 0.049640 0.077072 0.116673 0.177642
2025-09-14 0.010235 0.017844 0.029808 0.049639 0.081230 0.129003 0.205873
2025-09-21 0.008404 0.015589 0.027511 0.048282 0.082959 0.137697 0.229421
2025-09-28 0.007107 0.013967 0.025930 0.047751 0.085774 0.148175 0.256637
2025-10-05 0.006553 0.013550 0.026300 0.050507 0.094281 0.168579 0.301839
2025-10-12 0.005948 0.012922 0.026175 0.052319 0.101298 0.187114 0.345658
2025-10-19 0.005051 0.011547 0.024442 0.050895 0.102269 0.195230 0.372185
2025-10-26 0.004396 0.010547 0.023267 0.050341 0.104714 0.206089 0.404463
2025-11-02 0.003719 0.009388 0.021623 0.048681 0.104947 0.213130 0.430911
2025-11-09 0.003184 0.008445 0.020284 0.047453 0.105867 0.221541 0.460775
2025-11-16 0.002821 0.007839 0.019580 0.047467 0.109305 0.235126 0.501869
2025-11-23 0.002426 0.007073 0.018386 0.046217 0.109896 0.243062 0.532501
2025-11-30 0.002282 0.006927 0.018626 0.048271 0.117903 0.266888 0.597498
2025-12-07 0.002041 0.006472 0.018040 0.048287 0.121336 0.281450 0.644578
2025-12-14 0.001767 0.005865 0.016972 0.046973 0.121538 0.289072 0.677610
2025-12-21 0.001565 0.005425 0.016266 0.046460 0.123550 0.300818 0.720569
2025-12-28 0.001513 0.005435 0.016773 0.049148 0.133624 0.331534 0.808064
2026-01-04 0.001429 0.005324 0.016926 0.050916 0.141608 0.358171 0.888584
2026-01-11 0.001246 0.004851 0.015969 0.049528 0.141422 0.365762 0.926154